Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.623114e-03 0.001794 0.001965 0.002148 0.002340 0.002533 0.002743
2025-02-23 1.231696e-03 0.001483 0.001744 0.002035 0.002346 0.002668 0.003026
2025-03-02 9.347132e-04 0.001243 0.001577 0.001960 0.002382 0.002830 0.003336
2025-03-09 7.139764e-04 0.001063 0.001458 0.001927 0.002457 0.003030 0.003688
2025-03-16 5.454231e-04 0.000922 0.001370 0.001918 0.002553 0.003252 0.004065
2025-03-23 4.368303e-04 0.000840 0.001341 0.001972 0.002717 0.003547 0.004525
2025-03-30 3.318756e-04 0.000746 0.001288 0.001991 0.002837 0.003792 0.004929
2025-04-06 2.436739e-04 0.000660 0.001235 0.002003 0.002945 0.004022 0.005314
2025-04-13 1.729137e-04 0.000583 0.001187 0.002016 0.003050 0.004245 0.005692
2025-04-20 1.066884e-04 0.000495 0.001112 0.001988 0.003102 0.004405 0.005994
2025-04-27 5.798132e-05 0.000417 0.001043 0.001962 0.003151 0.004558 0.006286
2025-05-04 3.892276e-05 0.000394 0.001053 0.002038 0.003326 0.004858 0.006748
2025-05-11 2.081788e-05 0.000365 0.001055 0.002113 0.003511 0.005186 0.007260
2025-05-18 5.164356e-07 0.000271 0.000941 0.002022 0.003484 0.005259 0.007477
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000201 0.000854 0.001962 0.003495 0.005377 0.007747
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000153 0.000795 0.001940 0.003552 0.005551 0.008083
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000117 0.000754 0.001939 0.003636 0.005758 0.008459
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000101 0.000752 0.001999 0.003800 0.006064 0.008954
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000079 0.000729 0.002022 0.003914 0.006307 0.009373
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000059 0.000702 0.002037 0.004016 0.006534 0.009773
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000042 0.000677 0.002052 0.004117 0.006758 0.010168
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000023 0.000629 0.002026 0.004158 0.006907 0.010471
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000010 0.000585 0.002000 0.004198 0.007053 0.010769